Tennis · WTA Rome · 15/07, 16:00

Prediction: Lola Radivojevic vs Deborah Chiesa

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Lola Radivojevic Deborah Chiesa
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Lola Radivojevic 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWLWWLW
Deborah Chiesa 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lola Radivojevic 1509 · Deborah Chiesa 1659
Lola RadivojevicDeborah Chiesa
Our model30%70%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deborah Chiesa (rating 1509 vs 1659).
  • Deborah Chiesa is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Lola RadivojevicDeborah Chiesa
Win %50%80%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 89% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.8-0.7
Games (G-P)11.7-11.513.7-8
Aces4.32.4
Double faults3.71.4
1st serve %65.7%66.1%
Break %52.3%52.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lola Radivojevic

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Yufei Ren
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
08/07 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Bastad · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
07/07 Mona Barthel
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Marina Bassols Ribera
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 15-19 L
17/06 Francesca Curmi
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
16/06 Isabella Maria Serban
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/06 Sara Sorribes Tormo
WTA Makarska · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/06 Mia Ristic
WTA Makarska · Clay
2-1 14-17 W
31/05 Laura Samsonova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 14-16 L
30/05 Martha Matoula
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W

Deborah Chiesa

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Lina Gjorcheska
WTA Rome · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
27/06 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
26/06 Aneta Laboutkova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 11-3 W
25/06 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
25/06 Alessandra Mazzola
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
24/06 Selena Janicijevic
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
16/06 Mia Ristic
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
15/06 Ekaterina Kazionova
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-1 15-10 W
14/06 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
11/06 Clara Burel
W35 Nice
1-2 14-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lola Radivojevic vs Deborah Chiesa?

Our model gives 51% to Deborah Chiesa, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.