Tennis · WTA Rome · 15/07, 16:00

Prediction: Darya Astakhova vs Noma Noha Akugue

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Darya Astakhova Noma Noha Akugue
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Darya Astakhova 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWLW
Noma Noha Akugue 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Darya Astakhova 1548 · Noma Noha Akugue 1511
Darya AstakhovaNoma Noha Akugue
Our model55%45%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Darya AstakhovaNoma Noha Akugue
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.3-1
Games (G-P)10.6-1011.4-11.5
Aces12.4
Double faults2.23.7
1st serve %60%61.3%
Break %68.6%49.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Darya Astakhova

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
09/07 Dalila Jakupovic
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 7-13 L
07/07 Xinxin Yao
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 13-9 W
17/06 Luisina Giovannini
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Noemi Basiletti
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-1 14-10 W
06/06 Tyra Caterina Grant
WTA Foggia · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/06 Chloe Paquet
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
03/06 Lisa Pigato
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-1 14-12 W
01/06 Xinyu Gao
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
27/05 Julie Struplova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L

Noma Noha Akugue

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Alice Rame
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
06/07 Irene Burillo Escorihuela
WTA Bastad · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
24/06 Katherine Sebov
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 16-18 L
23/06 Lisa Pigato
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
13/06 Rebeka Masarova
WTA Berlin · Grass
1-2 9-16 L
10/06 Katarzyna Kawa
WTA Modena · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
08/06 Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
WTA Modena · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
05/06 Sara Sorribes Tormo
WTA Makarska · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
04/06 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
WTA Makarska · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
02/06 Miriam Bulgaru
WTA Makarska · Clay
2-0 14-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Darya Astakhova vs Noma Noha Akugue?

Our model gives 54% to Noma Noha Akugue, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.