Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 14/07, 05:00
Prediction: Natsuki Yoshimoto vs Jizelle Sibai
Prediction summary
Winner
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Jizelle Sibai
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Natsuki Yoshimoto
6-4 (W-L)
Jizelle Sibai
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natsuki Yoshimoto 1565 · Jizelle Sibai 1500
| Natsuki Yoshimoto | Jizelle Sibai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natsuki Yoshimoto (rating 1565 vs 1500).
- Note: Natsuki Yoshimoto makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Natsuki Yoshimoto | Jizelle Sibai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.4 | 8.9-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Cherry Kim W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Hiromi Abe W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Sae Noguchi W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/05 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Kurea Hayasaka W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Nanari Katsumi W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/05 | Mao Mushika W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Nanari Katsumi W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Jizelle Sibai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02 | Talia Gibson W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/02 | Naho Sato W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/02 | Hikaru Sato W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/02 | Larisa Arnautovic W75 Brisbane Qual |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/01 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Hobart · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/10 | BoYoung Jeong ITF W35 Darwin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Arina Varaksina ITF W35 Darwin |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/10 | Su Jeong Jang ITF W35 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Katie Swan ITF W35 Darwin |
1-1 | 5-8 | L |
| 01/10 | Onyu Choi ITF W35 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natsuki Yoshimoto vs Jizelle Sibai?
Our model gives 71% to Natsuki Yoshimoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.