Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 15/07, 02:00
Prediction: Eva Lopez vs Belle Thompson
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Lopez
Belle Thompson
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Lopez
5-5 (W-L)
Belle Thompson
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Lopez 1455 · Belle Thompson 1521
| Eva Lopez | Belle Thompson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belle Thompson (rating 1455 vs 1521).
Statistics
| Eva Lopez | Belle Thompson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.2 | 9.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 66.7% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Lopez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Anna Donnell W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Sun Min Ha W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Aspen Schuman W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Nikola Daubnerova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 09/06 | Aisulu Zholbolat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nao Phang Ziyi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Aurora Urso W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Nahjime Dho W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/05 | Gabriela Kawano Cho W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Belle Thompson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Caterina Odorizzi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Mariia Nozdrachova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Fangran Tian W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriela M Vancea W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Erika Abraham-Nilsen W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Anna Kubareva W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Celia Anson Sanchez W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Lopez vs Belle Thompson?
Our model gives 70% to Belle Thompson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.