Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 14/07, 14:00
Prediction: Matteo Martineau vs Gerard Campana Lee
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Martineau
Gerard Campana Lee
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Martineau
3-7 (W-L)
Gerard Campana Lee
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Martineau 1489 · Gerard Campana Lee 1557
| Matteo Martineau | Gerard Campana Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1489 vs 1557).
- Note: Matteo Martineau makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Matteo Martineau | Gerard Campana Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.5 | 12.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 61.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Martineau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Mae Malige Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/05 | Sander Jong Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Gerard Campana Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Fadi Bidan Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Dimitar Kisimov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Philip Henning Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Martineau vs Gerard Campana Lee?
Our model gives 54% to Gerard Campana Lee, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.