Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 14/07, 12:50
Prediction: Henri Squire vs Jan Kumstat
Prediction summary
Winner
Henri Squire
Jan Kumstat
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Henri Squire
4-6 (W-L)
Jan Kumstat
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Henri Squire
0–1
Jan Kumstat
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henri Squire 1512 · Jan Kumstat 1512
| Henri Squire | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jan Kumstat dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 51.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Henri Squire 0–1 Jan Kumstat (1).
- Note: Henri Squire makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Henri Squire | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12 | 11-11.4 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Henri Squire 0 – 1 Jan Kumstat (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Henri Squire 0–1 Jan Kumstat
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/25 Challenger Prague | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henri Squire
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Jan Kumstat
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Mateus Alves Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Duje Markovina M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Corentin Denolly M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Marvin Moeller M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Matteo Covato M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henri Squire vs Jan Kumstat?
Our model gives 58% to Henri Squire, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.