Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 14/07, 12:00
Prediction: Mika Brunold vs Ryan Nijboer
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Brunold
Ryan Nijboer
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Brunold
5-5 (W-L)
Ryan Nijboer
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mika Brunold
0–1
Ryan Nijboer
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Brunold 1506 · Ryan Nijboer 1587
| Mika Brunold | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Nijboer (rating 1506 vs 1587).
- Ryan Nijboer is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mika Brunold 0–1 Ryan Nijboer (1).
Statistics
| Mika Brunold | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.7 | 12.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 62.9% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Mika Brunold 0 – 1 Ryan Nijboer (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mika Brunold 0–1 Ryan Nijboer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/24 Challenger Salzburg | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Brunold
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 26/05 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/05 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/05 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/04 | Miguel Damas Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Alex Barrena Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/04 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 26/04 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/04 | Miguel Damas Challenger Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Ryan Nijboer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Maxence Bertimon Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Jonas Forejtek M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Brunold vs Ryan Nijboer?
Our model gives 53% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.