Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Peter Buldorini vs Maximilian Homberg
Prediction summary
Winner
Peter Buldorini
Maximilian Homberg
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Peter Buldorini
4-6 (W-L)
Maximilian Homberg
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Peter Buldorini
1–0
Maximilian Homberg
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peter Buldorini 1452 · Maximilian Homberg 1518
| Peter Buldorini | Maximilian Homberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maximilian Homberg (rating 1452 vs 1518).
- Head-to-head: Peter Buldorini 1–0 Maximilian Homberg (1).
Statistics
| Peter Buldorini | Maximilian Homberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.1 | 9.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 32.6% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Peter Buldorini 1 – 0 Maximilian Homberg (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peter Buldorini 1–0 Maximilian Homberg
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/25 ITF M15 Allershausen | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peter Buldorini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Jasin Jakupi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Robert Strombachs Davis Cup |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Tamerlan Azizov Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Petar Jovanovic Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Mark Nawa Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/05 | Preston Brown Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Maximilian Homberg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Store |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 26/06 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Mak Mikovic M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Marko Retelj M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/05 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Bor Artnak M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Max Pade M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/03 | Andrew Fenty M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Manama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peter Buldorini vs Maximilian Homberg?
Our model gives 60% to Maximilian Homberg, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.