Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 14/07, 10:30
Prediction: Leonardo Primucci vs Filippo Mazzola
Prediction summary
Winner
Leonardo Primucci
Filippo Mazzola
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Primucci
4-6 (W-L)
Filippo Mazzola
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Primucci 1453 · Filippo Mazzola 1542
| Leonardo Primucci | Filippo Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filippo Mazzola (rating 1453 vs 1542).
- Filippo Mazzola is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Leonardo Primucci | Filippo Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11 | 9.9-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Primucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Henri Haupt M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Maxence Rivet M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Jim Hendrikx M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 19/05 | Nik Mikovic M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-1 | 6-4 | W |
| 21/04 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Kacper Knitter M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Filippo Mazzola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Freddy Murray M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Adrien Burdet M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Alexey Dubinin M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Primucci vs Filippo Mazzola?
Our model gives 61% to Filippo Mazzola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.