Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Daniele Rapagnetta vs Lorenzo Rottoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniele Rapagnetta
Lorenzo Rottoli
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Daniele Rapagnetta
7-3 (W-L)
Lorenzo Rottoli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniele Rapagnetta 1498 · Lorenzo Rottoli 1479
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.9 | 11.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniele Rapagnetta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Pieter De Lange M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Lorenzo Rottoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 27/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Dillon Beckles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Denis Klok M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/05 | Jan Wygona M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniele Rapagnetta vs Lorenzo Rottoli?
Our model gives 54% to Daniele Rapagnetta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.