Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 14/07, 11:10
Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Michele Ribecai
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Villanueva
Michele Ribecai
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Villanueva
5-5 (W-L)
Michele Ribecai
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1551 · Michele Ribecai 1491
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalo Villanueva (rating 1551 vs 1491).
- Gonzalo Villanueva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.8 | 12.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Villanueva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Jozef Kovalik Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Michele Ribecai?
Our model gives 50% to Gonzalo Villanueva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.