Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Max Alcala Gurri vs Giorgio Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Alcala Gurri
Giorgio Tabacco
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Max Alcala Gurri
7-3 (W-L)
Giorgio Tabacco
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Alcala Gurri 1555 · Giorgio Tabacco 1571
| Max Alcala Gurri | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Max Alcala Gurri | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9 | 12.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 67% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Alcala Gurri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Giorgio Tabacco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Tom Sickenberger M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Flynn Thomas M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Marcello Serafini M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Raffaele Ciurnelli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Alcala Gurri vs Giorgio Tabacco?
Our model gives 63% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.