Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 14/07, 10:30
Prediction: Daniel Elahi Galan vs Abel Forger
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Elahi Galan
Abel Forger
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Elahi Galan
7-3 (W-L)
Abel Forger
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Elahi Galan 1527 · Abel Forger 1558
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Abel Forger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Abel Forger makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Abel Forger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.6 | 13.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 11/06 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/06 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Marc Polmans Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Tim Handel Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Alex Martinez Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Abel Forger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Jelle Sels M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Manvydas Balciunas M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Pieter De Lange M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Lars Wagenaar M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Elahi Galan vs Abel Forger?
Our model gives 57% to Daniel Elahi Galan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.