Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 14/07, 05:00
Prediction: Nanari Katsumi vs Ya-Yi Yang
Prediction summary
Winner
Nanari Katsumi
Ya-Yi Yang
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nanari Katsumi
4-6 (W-L)
Ya-Yi Yang
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nanari Katsumi 1474 · Ya-Yi Yang 1560
| Nanari Katsumi | Ya-Yi Yang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ya-Yi Yang (rating 1474 vs 1560).
- Ya-Yi Yang is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nanari Katsumi | Ya-Yi Yang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.7 | 11.9-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 53.7% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 60.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nanari Katsumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Eri Shimizu W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Stefani Webb W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/05 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Ha Eum Lee W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Ha Yoon Son W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Yujin Kim W35 Andong · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Jiho Shin W35 Andong · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Shiho Tsujioka W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/05 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Ya-Yi Yang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Sakura Hosogi W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Sevil Yuldasheva Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Dinara De Silva Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Elsa Wan Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Anchisa Chanta W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Haruka Kaji W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/06 | Jiaqi Wang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Meng Yi Chen W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nanari Katsumi vs Ya-Yi Yang?
Our model gives 66% to Ya-Yi Yang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.