Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 15/07, 02:00
Prediction: Chia Yi Tsao vs Amy Stevens
Prediction summary
Winner
Chia Yi Tsao
Amy Stevens
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Chia Yi Tsao
5-5 (W-L)
Amy Stevens
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chia Yi Tsao 1516 · Amy Stevens 1518
| Chia Yi Tsao | Amy Stevens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Amy Stevens makes many double faults (10.8/match).
Statistics
| Chia Yi Tsao | Amy Stevens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.1 | 9.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 10.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chia Yi Tsao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Gyeong Seo Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Erika Sema W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Ching Ying Chen W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Sakura Hosogi W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/05 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Yui Ohwaki W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/05 | Ran Wakana W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/05 | Hiromi Abe W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Sun Min Ha W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/05 | Shiho Tsujioka W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Amy Stevens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Oceane Dodin W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Zoe Ulrich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Tamara Bachmann W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Michelle Kelly Tikhonko W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Georgiana Ruhrig UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 06/05 | Belle Thompson UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Juliette Debrincat UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/05 | Ruby Ward UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chia Yi Tsao vs Amy Stevens?
Our model gives 68% to Chia Yi Tsao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.