Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 14/07, 05:00
Prediction: Mutsumi Uemura vs I Wen Wan
Prediction summary
Winner
Mutsumi Uemura
I Wen Wan
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mutsumi Uemura
7-3 (W-L)
I Wen Wan
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mutsumi Uemura 1481 · I Wen Wan 1529
| Mutsumi Uemura | I Wen Wan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours I Wen Wan (rating 1481 vs 1529).
Statistics
| Mutsumi Uemura | I Wen Wan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.6 | 10.6-6.3 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 74.3% | 65.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mutsumi Uemura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Rira Kosaka W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Yuhan Liu W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Stefani Webb W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Tsuki Shibutani W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Eri Shimizu W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/06 | Yingqun Sun W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Mana Kawamura W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
I Wen Wan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Evialina Laskevich W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Jiangxue Han W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Siana MacDonald Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/06 | Nigina Alimova Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Yuhansa Peiris Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Daania Daniella Hazli Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Yanan Hou W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Zongyu Li W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Alexandra Shubladze W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Jiangxue Han W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mutsumi Uemura vs I Wen Wan?
Our model gives 55% to I Wen Wan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.