Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 14/07, 05:00
Prediction: Alana Subasic vs Mana Kawamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Alana Subasic
Mana Kawamura
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alana Subasic
8-2 (W-L)
Mana Kawamura
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alana Subasic 1590 · Mana Kawamura 1390
| Alana Subasic | Mana Kawamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alana Subasic (rating 1590 vs 1390).
- Alana Subasic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alana Subasic | Mana Kawamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.2-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.7 | 5.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 44.3% |
| Break % | 60.9% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alana Subasic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Kateryna Lazarenko W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Berrak Kocak W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Adelina Lachinova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Annika Barth W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Mana Kawamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Stefani Webb W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Emily Appleton W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Hee Rae Im W35 Andong · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | BoYoung Jeong W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Jiangxue Han W35 Goyang · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Nana Kawagishi W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Annemarie Lazar W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 04/02 | Sofia Shapatava W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alana Subasic vs Mana Kawamura?
Our model gives 75% to Alana Subasic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.