Tennis · W35 Sao Paulo · 13/07, 20:00
Prediction: Rebeca Pereira vs Helena Bueno
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebeca Pereira
Helena Bueno
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rebeca Pereira
5-5 (W-L)
Helena Bueno
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rebeca Pereira
0–1
Helena Bueno
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebeca Pereira 1444 · Helena Bueno 1382
| Rebeca Pereira | Helena Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebeca Pereira (rating 1444 vs 1382).
- Head-to-head: Rebeca Pereira 0–1 Helena Bueno (1).
Statistics
| Rebeca Pereira | Helena Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-12.5 | 6.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 53% | 49.8% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Rebeca Pereira 0 – 1 Helena Bueno (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rebeca Pereira 0–1 Helena Bueno
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/24 ITF W15 Campinas | 1-2 | 19-21 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebeca Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Romina Ccuno W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sofia Cohen Perovani W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Laura Badia W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/03 | Emily Zornada W35 Junin · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 24/03 | Jaedan Brown W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Emily Zornada W35 Junin · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/01 | Lilian Poling W35 Buenos Aires |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/11 | Ana Candiotto ITF W15 Ribeirao Preto · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Gergana Topalova WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Helena Bueno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Carolina Xavier Laydner W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Catalina Delmas Schaerer W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tiziana Rossini W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/12 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Isabella Wong W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Inka Wawrzkiewicz W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Sonia Cassani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 11/09 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano ITF W15 Sao Luis |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Isabela De Mattos Silva ITF W15 Sao Luis |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Ana Candiotto W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebeca Pereira vs Helena Bueno?
Our model gives 70% to Rebeca Pereira, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.