Prediction: Julia Riera vs Darja Semenistaja
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Riera
Darja Semenistaja
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Riera
4-6 (W-L)
Darja Semenistaja
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Julia Riera
1–1
Darja Semenistaja
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Riera 1528 · Darja Semenistaja 1499
| Julia Riera | Darja Semenistaja | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Julia Riera | Darja Semenistaja | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.4 | 11.2-13 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Julia Riera 1 – 1 Darja Semenistaja (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Julia Riera 1–1 Darja Semenistaja
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/24 WTA Santa Cruz | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/05/24 W100 Wiesbaden | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Riera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Martina Trevisan W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Emily Seibold W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Nuria Parrizas-Diaz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Daniella Britton Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
Darja Semenistaja
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Antonia Ruzic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nao Hibino Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Anna Siskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 10/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/06 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Riera vs Darja Semenistaja?
Our model gives 54% to Julia Riera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.