Prediction: Francesca Pace vs Eva Vedder
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Pace
Eva Vedder
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Pace
4-6 (W-L)
Eva Vedder
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Pace 1452 · Eva Vedder 1638
| Francesca Pace | Eva Vedder | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 74% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eva Vedder (rating 1452 vs 1638).
- Eva Vedder is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Francesca Pace makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Pace | Eva Vedder | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.2 | 13.2-7.5 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Pace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 02/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Victoria Bosio WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Dalila Spiteri W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 03/06 | Luisina Giovannini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Gina Marie Dittmann W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Gina Marie Dittmann W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
Eva Vedder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Gina Feistel W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Weronika Falkowska W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Nina Vargova W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 28/06 | Elena Micic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Amandine Hesse W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Han Shi W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Chelsea Fontenel W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Pace vs Eva Vedder?
Our model gives 77% to Eva Vedder, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.