Tennis · WTA Rome · 14/07, 10:00

Prediction: Teodora Kostovic vs Jennifer Ruggeri

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Teodora Kostovic Jennifer Ruggeri
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Teodora Kostovic 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLWLWL
Jennifer Ruggeri 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Teodora Kostovic 1512 · Jennifer Ruggeri 1558
Teodora KostovicJennifer Ruggeri
Our model43%57%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jennifer Ruggeri (rating 1512 vs 1558).
  • Note: Jennifer Ruggeri makes many double faults (6.6/match).

Statistics

Teodora KostovicJennifer Ruggeri
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) 78% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.6-0.9
Games (G-P)11.1-10.212.5-11.5
Aces3.21.4
Double faults2.96.6
1st serve %64.7%62.3%
Break %55.2%44.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Teodora Kostovic

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/07 Ekaterine Gorgodze
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 7-13 L
10/07 Tamara Zidansek
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 12-3 W
09/07 Jule Niemeier
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-1 17-13 W
08/07 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 12-4 W
29/06 Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Lin Zhu
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Rebecca Sramkova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-16 W
23/06 Yeon Woo Ku
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
09/06 Ipek Oz
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
02/06 Simona Waltert
WTA Makarska · Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Jennifer Ruggeri

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Anouck Vrancken Peeters
W75 The Hague
1-2 15-19 L
18/06 Mayar Sherif
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 12-15 L
16/06 Elena Ruxandra Bertea
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-1 13-11 W
15/06 Tatiana Pieri
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/06 Yelyzaveta Kotliar
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
08/06 Martina Trevisan
WTA Modena · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
31/05 Kayla Day
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-1 16-15 W
30/05 Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
29/05 Andrea Lazaro Garcia
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
28/05 Alba Rey Garcia
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Teodora Kostovic vs Jennifer Ruggeri?

Our model gives 57% to Teodora Kostovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.