Tennis · WTA Rome · 13/07, 16:00

Prediction: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Darya Astakhova

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson Darya Astakhova
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWWLLLWL
Darya Astakhova 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 1543 · Darya Astakhova 1525
Kajsa Rinaldo PerssonDarya Astakhova
Our model53%47%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Kajsa Rinaldo PerssonDarya Astakhova
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.1-1.2
Games (G-P)11.8-9.99.7-10.8
Aces0.41.1
Double faults3.12.2
1st serve %59.6%58.5%
Break %54.3%61.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Bastad · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
07/07 Dalma Galfi
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
16/06 Fiona Ferro
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
14/06 Elina Avanesyan
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
13/06 Anna-Lena Friedsam
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
12/06 Laura Mair
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
11/06 Eszter Meri
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
09/06 Weronika Falkowska
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
04/06 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Makarska · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
02/06 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Makarska · Clay
2-1 16-10 W

Darya Astakhova

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Dalila Jakupovic
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 7-13 L
07/07 Xinxin Yao
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 13-9 W
17/06 Luisina Giovannini
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Noemi Basiletti
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-1 14-10 W
06/06 Tyra Caterina Grant
WTA Foggia · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/06 Chloe Paquet
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
03/06 Lisa Pigato
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-1 14-12 W
01/06 Xinyu Gao
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
27/05 Julie Struplova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
08/05 Martyna Kubka
W50 Lopota · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Darya Astakhova?

Our model gives 54% to Kajsa Rinaldo Persson, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.