Prediction: Lina Gjorcheska vs Deborah Chiesa
Prediction summary
Winner
Lina Gjorcheska
Deborah Chiesa
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lina Gjorcheska
3-7 (W-L)
Deborah Chiesa
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lina Gjorcheska
2–2
Deborah Chiesa
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lina Gjorcheska 1465 · Deborah Chiesa 1629
| Lina Gjorcheska | Deborah Chiesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deborah Chiesa (rating 1465 vs 1629).
- Deborah Chiesa is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Lina Gjorcheska makes many double faults (9.2/match).
Statistics
| Lina Gjorcheska | Deborah Chiesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.8 | 13.1-6.8 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 9.2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Lina Gjorcheska 2 – 2 Deborah Chiesa (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lina Gjorcheska 2–2 Deborah Chiesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/24 ITF W75 Koper | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/01/23 ITF W40 Tallinn | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 19/05/22 ITF W60 Rome | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/04/22 ITF W25 Santa Margherita | 2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lina Gjorcheska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Francisca Jorge Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Angela Fita Boluda Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Suzan Lamens French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Xinran Sun WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 17/04 | Katarina Zavatska W75 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/04 | Lisa Pigato WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Deborah Chiesa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/06 | Aneta Laboutkova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Selena Janicijevic W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Mia Ristic WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Clara Burel W35 Nice |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Liv Boulard W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lina Gjorcheska vs Deborah Chiesa?
Our model gives 65% to Deborah Chiesa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.