Tennis · M15 Gubbio · 13/07, 11:30
Prediction: Gabriele Vulpitta vs Andrea Paolini
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Vulpitta
Andrea Paolini
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Vulpitta
6-4 (W-L)
Andrea Paolini
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Vulpitta 1539 · Andrea Paolini 1494
| Gabriele Vulpitta | Andrea Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriele Vulpitta (rating 1539 vs 1494).
Statistics
| Gabriele Vulpitta | Andrea Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.2 | 9.7-10 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Vulpitta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Heremana Courte M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/07 | Miguel Simao M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 02/06 | Jakub Kroslak M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Yassine Smiej M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Balthazar Huss M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/01 | Naresh Bharathy UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Andrea Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Photos Photiades M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Gabriel Sardo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/05 | Lilian Marmousez Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Cezar Cretu M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Alexander Orlov M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/02 | Sena Okabe M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Vulpitta vs Andrea Paolini?
Our model gives 67% to Gabriele Vulpitta, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.