Prediction: Francesca Jones vs Dalila Spiteri
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Jones
Dalila Spiteri
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Jones
3-7 (W-L)
Dalila Spiteri
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesca Jones
1–0
Dalila Spiteri
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Jones 1443 · Dalila Spiteri 1510
| Francesca Jones | Dalila Spiteri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalila Spiteri (rating 1443 vs 1510).
- Dalila Spiteri is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Francesca Jones 1–0 Dalila Spiteri (1).
- Note: Francesca Jones makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Jones | Dalila Spiteri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.9 | 10-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 69.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Francesca Jones 1 – 0 Dalila Spiteri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Jones 1–0 Dalila Spiteri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/17 ITF Women Hammamet | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alice Rame WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Laura Siegemund WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Marie Bouzkova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Beatriz Haddad Maia French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Rabat · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 08/05 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Dalila Spiteri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Anja Stankovic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Julia Stamatova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Laura Svatikova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Francesca Pace W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Angelica Raggi W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/05 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Rabat · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/05 | Georgina Garcia-Perez WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/05 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Jones vs Dalila Spiteri?
Our model gives 65% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.