Prediction: Alessandra Mazzola vs Lucia Bronzetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Alessandra Mazzola
Lucia Bronzetti
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandra Mazzola
7-3 (W-L)
Lucia Bronzetti
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alessandra Mazzola 1551 · Lucia Bronzetti 1554
| Alessandra Mazzola | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alessandra Mazzola | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.1 | 11.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alessandra Mazzola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Francesca Gandolfi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Jule Niemeier W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 12/06 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Maria Toma W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Federica Urgesi W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/06 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lucia Bronzetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Lina Gjorcheska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Justina Mikulskyte Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Maddison Inglis Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Julia Grabher WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Xinyu Gao WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alessandra Mazzola vs Lucia Bronzetti?
Our model gives 63% to Lucia Bronzetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.