Tennis · WTA Rome · 13/07, 19:00

Prediction: Sofya Lansere vs Elena Malygina

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Sofya Lansere Elena Malygina
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sofya Lansere 3-7 (W-L)
LWWWLLLLLL
Elena Malygina 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLLW
Head-to-head
Sofya Lansere 2–0 Elena Malygina (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sofya Lansere 1513 · Elena Malygina 1458
Sofya LansereElena Malygina
Our model58%42%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofya Lansere (rating 1513 vs 1458).
  • Head-to-head: Sofya Lansere 2–0 Elena Malygina (2).
  • Note: Sofya Lansere makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Sofya LansereElena Malygina
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.20.8-1.4
Games (G-P)9.1-9.69-11.6
Aces0.61.5
Double faults5.42.9
1st serve %59.4%55.5%
Break %52.5%44%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

H2H · Sofya Lansere 20 Elena Malygina (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sofya Lansere 20 Elena Malygina

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DateSetsGamesRes.
01/10/25
ITF W75 Bratislava
2-014-11W
10/03/21
ITF W25 Kazan
2-118-15W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sofya Lansere

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Rositsa Dencheva
W35 Buzau
0-2 2-12 L
17/06 Jenny Lim
W75 Blois · ~Clay
1-2 14-13 L
16/06 Yara Bartashevich
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W
11/06 Francesca Curmi
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-1 6-7 L
19/05 Mei Yamaguchi
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
16/05 Dayeon Back
W35 Andong · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
15/05 Hanna Chang
W35 Andong · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
14/05 Yujin Kim
W35 Andong · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
13/05 Ya-Hsuan Lee
W35 Andong · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
05/05 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Jiujiang · Hard
0-2 6-13 L

Elena Malygina

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Viola Turini
WTA Rome · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
24/06 Daria Kuczer
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
20/06 Elina Avanesyan
Billie Jean King Cup
0-2 2-12 L
18/06 Marie Weckerle
Billie Jean King Cup
2-0 12-4 W
29/04 Amandine Hesse
W75 Lopota · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
28/04 Weronika Ewald
W75 Lopota · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W
07/04 Xinyu Gao
W75 Calvi · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
31/03 Mona Barthel
W50 Nantes · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
23/03 Ekaterina Kazionova
W50 Croissy-Beaubourg · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
22/03 Andreea Prisacariu
W50 Croissy-Beaubourg · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sofya Lansere vs Elena Malygina?

Our model gives 56% to Sofya Lansere, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.