Tennis · WTA Rome · 14/07, 10:00

Prediction: Fiona Ferro vs Aurora Zantedeschi

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Fiona Ferro Aurora Zantedeschi
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Fiona Ferro 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWWLWLL
Aurora Zantedeschi 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fiona Ferro 1505 · Aurora Zantedeschi 1579
Fiona FerroAurora Zantedeschi
Our model40%60%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aurora Zantedeschi (rating 1505 vs 1579).

Statistics

Fiona FerroAurora Zantedeschi
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.4-0.8
Games (G-P)11.7-10.311.1-9.4
Aces11.2
Double faults1.93.5
1st serve %56.9%63%
Break %45.7%53.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fiona Ferro

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/06 Greet Minnen
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
17/06 Ekaterine Gorgodze
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 16-15 L
16/06 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
24/05 Mirra Andreeva
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
20/05 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
WTA Rabat · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
18/05 Danka Kovinic
WTA Rabat · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/05 Elina Avanesyan
WTA Rabat · Clay
2-1 18-10 W
16/05 Ekaterina Kazionova
WTA Rabat · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
12/05 Madison Keys
WTA Paris · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
26/04 Polina Kudermetova
WTA Oeiras · Clay
2-1 12-10 W

Aurora Zantedeschi

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/07 Jeline Vandromme
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
10/07 Anna Blinkova
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
07/07 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
05/07 Alina Granwehr
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/07 Madison Sieg
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
03/07 Astrid Lew Yan Foon
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
02/07 Isabella Maria Serban
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
30/06 Meline Lataste
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
13/06 Nadia Podoroska
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L
12/06 Alessandra Mazzola
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fiona Ferro vs Aurora Zantedeschi?

Our model gives 51% to Fiona Ferro, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.