Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 13/07, 11:30
Prediction: Giorgio Tabacco vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Prediction summary
Winner
Giorgio Tabacco
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Giorgio Tabacco
7-3 (W-L)
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giorgio Tabacco 1524 · Samuel Vincent Ruggeri 1473
| Giorgio Tabacco | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giorgio Tabacco (rating 1524 vs 1473).
- Note: Samuel Vincent Ruggeri makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Giorgio Tabacco | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.4 | 10.6-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giorgio Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Tom Sickenberger M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Flynn Thomas M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Marcello Serafini M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Raffaele Ciurnelli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | David Poljak Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 09/06 | Ali Habib M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/05 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/04 | Olle Wallin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Andrei Kunitsyn M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giorgio Tabacco vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri?
Our model gives 53% to Giorgio Tabacco, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.