Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 13/07, 11:00
Prediction: Denis Yevseyev vs Gerard Campana Lee
Prediction summary
Winner
Denis Yevseyev
Gerard Campana Lee
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Denis Yevseyev
5-5 (W-L)
Gerard Campana Lee
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Denis Yevseyev
1–0
Gerard Campana Lee
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denis Yevseyev 1481 · Gerard Campana Lee 1543
| Denis Yevseyev | Gerard Campana Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1481 vs 1543).
- Gerard Campana Lee is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Denis Yevseyev 1–0 Gerard Campana Lee (1).
Statistics
| Denis Yevseyev | Gerard Campana Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-12.3 | 12.4-11 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Denis Yevseyev 1 – 0 Gerard Campana Lee (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Denis Yevseyev 1–0 Gerard Campana Lee
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/24 Challenger Montemar | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denis Yevseyev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Leonardo Borrelli Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Jan Patrick Sinescu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Alan Wazny Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Gerard Campana Lee
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Fadi Bidan Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Dimitar Kisimov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Philip Henning Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Paul Theate Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denis Yevseyev vs Gerard Campana Lee?
Our model gives 56% to Gerard Campana Lee, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.