Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Max Houkes vs David Jorda Sanchis
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Houkes
David Jorda Sanchis
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Max Houkes
4-6 (W-L)
David Jorda Sanchis
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Max Houkes
2–0
David Jorda Sanchis
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Houkes 1447 · David Jorda Sanchis 1585
| Max Houkes | David Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours David Jorda Sanchis (rating 1447 vs 1585).
- David Jorda Sanchis is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Max Houkes 2–0 David Jorda Sanchis (2).
Statistics
| Max Houkes | David Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.9 | 12.5-10.7 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Max Houkes 2 – 0 David Jorda Sanchis (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Max Houkes 2–0 David Jorda Sanchis
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/23 Challenger Roseto | 2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/10/21 ITF M15 Platja D'Aro | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Houkes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Laslo Djere Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Martin Damm ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Marco Cecchinato French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/04 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/04 | Valentin Royer Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/04 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
David Jorda Sanchis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Benjamin Winter Lopez Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Liam Broady Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Houkes vs David Jorda Sanchis?
Our model gives 61% to David Jorda Sanchis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.