Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Filippo Romano
Prediction summary
Winner
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Filippo Romano
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
5-5 (W-L)
Filippo Romano
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1466 · Filippo Romano 1502
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Filippo Romano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Filippo Romano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (1) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.5 | 12.2-12.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Aristotelis Thanos M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Marco Furlanetto M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Duje Markovina M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Filippo Romano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Murphy Cassone ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Alastair Gray Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Filippo Romano?
Our model gives 50% to Gilles Arnaud Bailly, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.