Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Tomas Barrios Vera vs Niels Visker
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Barrios Vera
Niels Visker
Estimated games
25.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Barrios Vera
7-3 (W-L)
Niels Visker
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Barrios Vera 1478 · Niels Visker 1490
| Tomas Barrios Vera | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tomas Barrios Vera dominates on serve: 12 aces and 45.1% break avg.
- Note: Niels Visker makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Tomas Barrios Vera | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-13.8 | 12.1-12.6 |
| Aces | 12 | 12.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 78.5% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 25% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Barrios Vera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 24-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Paul Jubb Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Marco Cecchinato Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Luka Pavlovic French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Harold Mayot French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 14/05 | Emilio Nava Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Niels Visker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Dan Added Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Elias Ymer ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/05 | Florent Bax Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/04 | Michael Geerts Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 23/04 | Florent Bax Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/04 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Barrios Vera vs Niels Visker?
Our model gives 68% to Tomas Barrios Vera, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.