Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Thijs Boogaard vs Gauthier Onclin
Prediction summary
Winner
Thijs Boogaard
Gauthier Onclin
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thijs Boogaard
9-1 (W-L)
Gauthier Onclin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thijs Boogaard 1583 · Gauthier Onclin 1505
| Thijs Boogaard | Gauthier Onclin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thijs Boogaard (rating 1583 vs 1505).
- Thijs Boogaard is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Gauthier Onclin makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Thijs Boogaard | Gauthier Onclin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-11.5 | 12.5-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 73% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thijs Boogaard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Patrick Schoen M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Goncalo Marques M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Yibing Wu ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/05 | Aaron Funk M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Ali Habib M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 13/05 | Hitesh Chauhan M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Gauthier Onclin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Lorenzo Giustino Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/06 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Orlando Luz ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thijs Boogaard vs Gauthier Onclin?
Our model gives 61% to Gauthier Onclin, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.