Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Stefano Napolitano vs Felix Balshaw
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefano Napolitano
Felix Balshaw
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Stefano Napolitano
7-3 (W-L)
Felix Balshaw
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefano Napolitano 1496 · Felix Balshaw 1587
| Stefano Napolitano | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felix Balshaw (rating 1496 vs 1587).
Statistics
| Stefano Napolitano | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.6 | 12.2-8.6 |
| Aces | 10.5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 24.7% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefano Napolitano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Edward Winter Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Philip Henning Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Stefan Vujic Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/05 | Alejandro Moro Canas French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 11/05 | Jakub Paul Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/04 | James Duckworth Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 11/04 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Peter Makk Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Franco Ribero Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefano Napolitano vs Felix Balshaw?
Our model gives 65% to Felix Balshaw, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.