Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo Giustino
Prediction summary
Winner
Franco Roncadelli
Lorenzo Giustino
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Roncadelli
1-9 (W-L)
Lorenzo Giustino
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franco Roncadelli 1466 · Lorenzo Giustino 1571
| Franco Roncadelli | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Giustino (rating 1466 vs 1571).
- Lorenzo Giustino is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Franco Roncadelli | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.3 | 12.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 5 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 70% |
| Break % | 52% | 75% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Peter Fajta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/05 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/05 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
Lorenzo Giustino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Gauthier Onclin Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Our model gives 60% to Lorenzo Giustino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.