Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Maxim Mrva vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Mrva
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Mrva
5-5 (W-L)
Carlo Alberto Caniato
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Mrva 1520 · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1490
| Maxim Mrva | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maxim Mrva | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.7 | 11.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 77.8% |
| Break % | 44% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Mrva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Jan Sadzik Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 08/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/06 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 02/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/05 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Mrva vs Carlo Alberto Caniato?
Our model gives 55% to Maxim Mrva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.