Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Federico Bondioli
Estimated games
25
Recent form · 10 last
Alvaro Guillen Meza
3-7 (W-L)
Federico Bondioli
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alvaro Guillen Meza
0–1
Federico Bondioli
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alvaro Guillen Meza 1417 · Federico Bondioli 1489
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Bondioli (rating 1417 vs 1489).
- Head-to-head: Alvaro Guillen Meza 0–1 Federico Bondioli (1).
- Note: Alvaro Guillen Meza makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-14.6 | 12.5-14.4 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 29.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25
H2H · Alvaro Guillen Meza 0 – 1 Federico Bondioli (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alvaro Guillen Meza 0–1 Federico Bondioli
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 Challenger Parma | 1-2 | 18-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alvaro Guillen Meza
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 11/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 19/05 | Colton Smith French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/04 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Campinas · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Federico Bondioli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 11/06 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 28/05 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli?
Our model gives 57% to Federico Bondioli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.