Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Sumit Nagal vs Cezar Cretu
Prediction summary
Winner
Sumit Nagal
Cezar Cretu
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sumit Nagal
5-5 (W-L)
Cezar Cretu
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sumit Nagal
1–0
Cezar Cretu
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sumit Nagal 1557 · Cezar Cretu 1517
| Sumit Nagal | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sumit Nagal (rating 1557 vs 1517).
- Head-to-head: Sumit Nagal 1–0 Cezar Cretu (1).
Statistics
| Sumit Nagal | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.6 | 11.7-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Sumit Nagal 1 – 0 Cezar Cretu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sumit Nagal 1–0 Cezar Cretu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 Challenger Targu Mures | 2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sumit Nagal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Mariano Kestelboim Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Cezar Cretu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/05 | Radu Albot Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sumit Nagal vs Cezar Cretu?
Our model gives 51% to Sumit Nagal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.