Tennis · Challenger Cordenons · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Hugo Dellien vs Ioannis Xilas
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Dellien
Ioannis Xilas
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Dellien
5-5 (W-L)
Ioannis Xilas
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Dellien 1544 · Ioannis Xilas 1449
| Hugo Dellien | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Dellien (rating 1544 vs 1449).
- Hugo Dellien dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 42.8% break avg.
- Hugo Dellien is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hugo Dellien | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.3 | 9.7-11.7 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Alex Barrena Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Valentin Royer French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 22/05 | Roberto Carballes Baena French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Matej Dodig French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ioannis Xilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Matthew William Donald M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Lasse Poertner M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Isac Stroemberg M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/06 | Liam Broady Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Manuel Mazza Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Manuel Mazza M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Dellien vs Ioannis Xilas?
Our model gives 72% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.