Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 12/07, 17:00
Prediction: Laurent Lokoli vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Prediction summary
Winner
Laurent Lokoli
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Laurent Lokoli
7-3 (W-L)
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Laurent Lokoli
1–0
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laurent Lokoli 1630 · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1511
| Laurent Lokoli | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laurent Lokoli (rating 1630 vs 1511).
- Laurent Lokoli is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Laurent Lokoli 1–0 Yanis Ghazouani Durand (1).
- Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Laurent Lokoli | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8 | 12.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 79.8% | 68% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Laurent Lokoli 1 – 0 Yanis Ghazouani Durand (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Laurent Lokoli 1–0 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/24 M25 Ajaccio | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laurent Lokoli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Florent Bax M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Matisse Martin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Dan Added M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Tanguy Genier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Louis Larue M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Axel Garcian M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Tanguy Genier M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Isaac Becroft Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Naoki Tajima M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Jelle Sels Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laurent Lokoli vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?
Our model gives 70% to Laurent Lokoli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.