Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 11/07, 18:00
Prediction: Alexander Weis vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Weis
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Weis
8-2 (W-L)
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Weis 1540 · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1495
| Alexander Weis | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Weis (rating 1540 vs 1495).
- Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Weis | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.4 | 12-10.3 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Weis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Damien Salvestre M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Arthur Bonnaud M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Kacper Szymkowiak M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Amar Huseinovikj M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Jan Kupcic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Axel Garcian M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Tanguy Genier M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Isaac Becroft Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Naoki Tajima M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Jelle Sels Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 17/04 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Weis vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?
Our model gives 63% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.