Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 09/07, 10:00

Prediction: Florent Bax vs Benjamin Pietri

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Benjamin Pietri; the market gives 73% to Florent Bax (odds 1.28).

Recent form leaves Florent Bax with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Benjamin Pietri has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

61%1
61% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Florent Bax 1496 · Benjamin Pietri 1525
Florent BaxBenjamin Pietri
Our model46%54%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Florent Bax dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 41.6% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Florent Bax 1–0 Benjamin Pietri (1).

Statistics

Florent BaxBenjamin Pietri
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (8) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.2-0.9
Games (G-P)12.1-11.311-9.6
Aces7.81.4
Double faults33.8
1st serve %67.4%66.3%
Break %41.6%53.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

H2H · Florent Bax 10 Benjamin Pietri (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Florent Bax 10 Benjamin Pietri

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DateSetsGamesRes.
17/06/19
M25 Toulouse
2-121-20W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Florent Bax

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Justin Lenders
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-6 W
22/06 Chris Rodesch
Wimbledon · Grass
1-2 12-18 L
16/06 Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Milano · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
10/06 Thomas Faurel
Challenger Lyon · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
18/05 Gonzalo Bueno
French Open · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
10/05 Calvin Hemery
Challenger Brazzaville · Clay
1-2 17-17 L
09/05 Franco Ribero
Challenger Brazzaville · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
08/05 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Brazzaville · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
07/05 Younes Lalami Laaroussi
Challenger Brazzaville · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
06/05 Adrian Arcon
Challenger Brazzaville · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Benjamin Pietri

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Pablo Pradat
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-3 W
03/07 Matisse Bobichon
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
02/07 Mathieu Scaglia
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
30/06 Peter Buldorini
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 15-9 W
26/06 Lukas Pokorny
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
25/06 Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
19/05 Filippo Mazzola
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
25/04 Melios Efstathiou
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
23/04 Alec Deckers
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 14-12 W
21/04 Evangelos Kypriotis
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Florent Bax vs Benjamin Pietri?

Our model gives 61% to Florent Bax, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.