Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 11/07, 18:00
Prediction: Florent Bax vs Laurent Lokoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Florent Bax
Laurent Lokoli
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Florent Bax
7-3 (W-L)
Laurent Lokoli
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Florent Bax
0–1
Laurent Lokoli
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Florent Bax 1490 · Laurent Lokoli 1606
| Florent Bax | Laurent Lokoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laurent Lokoli (rating 1490 vs 1606).
- Florent Bax dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 48% break avg.
- Laurent Lokoli is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Florent Bax 0–1 Laurent Lokoli (1).
Statistics
| Florent Bax | Laurent Lokoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.1 | 12.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 78.9% |
| Break % | 48% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Florent Bax 0 – 1 Laurent Lokoli (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Florent Bax 0–1 Laurent Lokoli
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/19 M25 Toulouse | 1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Florent Bax
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Lenders M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Chris Rodesch Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/05 | Gonzalo Bueno French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 09/05 | Franco Ribero Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/05 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Laurent Lokoli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Matisse Martin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Dan Added M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Tanguy Genier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Louis Larue M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Florent Bax vs Laurent Lokoli?
Our model gives 60% to Laurent Lokoli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.