Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 10/07, 19:00
Prediction: Florent Bax vs Nicolas Jadoun
Prediction summary
Winner
Florent Bax
Nicolas Jadoun
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Florent Bax
7-3 (W-L)
Nicolas Jadoun
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Florent Bax
2–0
Nicolas Jadoun
(2 last)
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Florent Bax 1501 · Nicolas Jadoun 1494
| Florent Bax | Nicolas Jadoun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Florent Bax dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 44.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Florent Bax 2–0 Nicolas Jadoun (2).
Statistics
| Florent Bax | Nicolas Jadoun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.4 | 9.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Florent Bax 2 – 0 Nicolas Jadoun (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Florent Bax 2–0 Nicolas Jadoun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/25 ITF M25 Brazzaville | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/04/25 Challenger Abidjan | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Florent Bax
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Lenders M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Chris Rodesch Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/05 | Gonzalo Bueno French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 09/05 | Franco Ribero Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/05 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Nicolas Jadoun
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Liam Branger M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Paris Pouatcha M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Matthias Ujvary M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Rajat Shirur M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Florent Bax vs Nicolas Jadoun?
Our model gives 68% to Florent Bax, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.