Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 10/07, 17:30
Prediction: Laurent Lokoli vs Rodrigo Alujas
Prediction summary
Winner
Laurent Lokoli
Rodrigo Alujas
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Laurent Lokoli
6-4 (W-L)
Rodrigo Alujas
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Laurent Lokoli
1–0
Rodrigo Alujas
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laurent Lokoli 1574 · Rodrigo Alujas 1511
| Laurent Lokoli | Rodrigo Alujas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laurent Lokoli (rating 1574 vs 1511).
- Head-to-head: Laurent Lokoli 1–0 Rodrigo Alujas (1).
- Note: Rodrigo Alujas makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Laurent Lokoli | Rodrigo Alujas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.9 | 9.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 79.5% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Laurent Lokoli 1 – 0 Rodrigo Alujas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Laurent Lokoli 1–0 Rodrigo Alujas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/25 M25 Ajaccio | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laurent Lokoli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Matisse Martin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Dan Added M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Tanguy Genier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Louis Larue M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Mika Brunold Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Rodrigo Alujas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Alejandro Arcila M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Tom Zeuch M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Hugo Cardinaud M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/04 | Jerry Roddick M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/04 | Alejandro Hayen M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 21/04 | Rodolfo Jauregui Sainz De Rozas M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/04 | Marc Polmans Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laurent Lokoli vs Rodrigo Alujas?
Our model gives 75% to Laurent Lokoli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.