Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 12/07, 13:20
Prediction: Denis Yevseyev vs Leonardo Borrelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Denis Yevseyev
Leonardo Borrelli
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Denis Yevseyev
5-5 (W-L)
Leonardo Borrelli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denis Yevseyev 1473 · Leonardo Borrelli 1450
| Denis Yevseyev | Leonardo Borrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Leonardo Borrelli makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Denis Yevseyev | Leonardo Borrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.8 | 8.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 55.1% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denis Yevseyev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Jan Patrick Sinescu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Alan Wazny Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Aurel Ciocanu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Leonardo Borrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Yassine Smiej M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Jorge Plans M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 06/04 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denis Yevseyev vs Leonardo Borrelli?
Our model gives 73% to Denis Yevseyev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.