Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 12/07, 14:30

Prediction: Rudolf Molleker vs Dax Donders

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
Rudolf Molleker Dax Donders
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Rudolf Molleker 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWWL
Dax Donders 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rudolf Molleker 1499 · Dax Donders 1477
Rudolf MollekerDax Donders
Our model53%47%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Rudolf MollekerDax Donders
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.30.9-1.5
Games (G-P)12.8-12.98.5-10.8
Aces3.11.8
Double faults2.22.3
1st serve %66.8%66.1%
Break %43.1%48.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rudolf Molleker

LLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Facundo Diaz Acosta
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
06/07 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
05/07 Stefan Seifert
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Jonathan Mridha
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
15/06 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Poznan · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
12/06 Georgii Kravchenko
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
11/06 Dominik Recek
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
1-0 7-6 W
10/06 Jan Hrazdil
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W
01/05 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
29/04 Henri Squire
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
2-1 16-13 W

Dax Donders

LWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Yannik Kelm
M25 The Hague
0-2 6-13 L
06/07 Sep De Visser
M25 The Hague
2-1 10-7 W
01/07 Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
29/06 Max Van Nunen
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 12-12 W
24/06 Sydney Zick
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
30/04 Adrian Oetzbach
M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
29/04 Maik Steiner
M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
27/04 Niklas Guttau
M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
2-1 10-6 W
17/03 Vladan Tadic
M15 Rovinj · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/11 Jarno Jans
M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rudolf Molleker vs Dax Donders?

Our model gives 72% to Rudolf Molleker, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.