Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 12/07, 13:00
Prediction: Maxime Chazal vs Sander Jong
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxime Chazal
Sander Jong
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maxime Chazal
4-6 (W-L)
Sander Jong
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime Chazal 1493 · Sander Jong 1523
| Maxime Chazal | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maxime Chazal | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.7 | 12.1-10 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 30.6% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime Chazal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/06 | Rodrigo Alujas Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 28/05 | Alexandre Reco M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Alec Deckers M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Sander Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Eero Vasa M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jeremy Schifris M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Jesse De Jager M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Sammy Guinau M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Lasse Poertner Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime Chazal vs Sander Jong?
Our model gives 56% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.