Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 12/07, 15:00
Prediction: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Abel Forger
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Marti Pujolras
Abel Forger
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Marti Pujolras
4-6 (W-L)
Abel Forger
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Marti Pujolras 1466 · Abel Forger 1529
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Abel Forger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Abel Forger (rating 1466 vs 1529).
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (7.5/match).
- Note: Abel Forger makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Abel Forger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.3 | 13-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Vijay Sundar Prashanth Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/06 | David Fix Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/05 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Jack Kennedy M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Abel Forger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Jelle Sels M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Manvydas Balciunas M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Pieter De Lange M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Lars Wagenaar M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 16/06 | Bercel Sandor Takacs M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/11 | Yaroslav Demin ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Marti Pujolras vs Abel Forger?
Our model gives 54% to Alex Marti Pujolras, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.